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SWK heute hart erwischt mit -14%, grund:

Stanley Black & Decker Profit Tops Estimates but Outlook Weaker Than Forecasts

Stanley Black & Decker's fourth-quarter adjusted profit tops forecasts by 1 cent.

Stanley Black & Decker Inc. (SWK - Get Report) posted adjusted profit in the fourth quarter of $2.11 a share, beating analysts' estimates by 1 cent. But the stock tumbled 13.7% on Tuesday to $118.07 after the company said fiscal 2019 earnings would come in below analysts' forecasts.

Revenue in the quarter of $3.63 billion topped forecasts of $3.62 billion.

On a GAAP basis, Stanley Black & Decker posted a loss of 45 cents a share vs. profit a year earlier of $1.84.

Gross margin rate for the quarter was 33.3%, the company said. Excluding charges, the rate was down 280 basis points from the prior year as "volume leverage, productivity and price were more than offset by external headwinds, including commodity inflation, foreign exchange and tariffs."

For 2019, the company said it expects earnings of $7.45 to $7.65 a share; on an adjusted basis earnings of $8.45 to $8.65 are expected. Analysts surveyed by FactSet expect earnings in 2019 of $8.79.

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Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Tops Q4 Earnings Estimates

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) came out with quarterly earnings of $2.18 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.16 per share. This compares to earnings of $2.11 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.

This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 0.93%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this tool company would post earnings of $2.02 per share when it actually produced earnings of $2.13, delivering a surprise of 5.45%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times.

Stanley Black & Decker, which belongs to the Zacks Manufacturing - Tools & Related Products industry, posted revenues of $3.71 billion for the quarter ended December 2019, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.66%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $3.63 billion.


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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stanley-b...12004.html

+ SWK - vielleicht kann mir jemand die Probleme erklären? 

Vielen Dank im Voraus!

2021 ist der FCF schon um über 90% abgestürzt. 2022 dann sogar ca. $400 Mio negativ. Gewinn ist ohne Sonderfaktoren fast 50% abgestürzt. Mit Sonderfaktoren sogar fast um 80%.

Klar, die Guidance Senkungen haben ihr übriges im Chart angerichtet.

Der FCF soll 2023 wieder auf 1.5 Mrd. positiv sein. Das wäre aufgrund der sehr hohen Nettoverschuldung auch dringend notwendig.

Das Sentiment ist absolut im Keller, da von Feb. bis Okt. 2022 sehr viele Analysten auf Halten zurückgestuft haben.

Die nächsten 3. Quartale werden fallende Umsätze erwartet.