RE: Marktzusammenfassung USA
| 11.10.2022, 14:00 (Dieser Beitrag wurde zuletzt bearbeitet: 11.10.2022, 14:02 von bufett.)
Die Sentiment und bull/bear ratios zeigen zwar eine überverkaufte Situation, trotzdem wird jede Erholung sofort wieder verkauft.
Ich bin erstmal gestern mit ganz guten Gewinnen ausgestiegen und werde wohl bei 3000 S&P Punkten wieder einsteigen.Hier ein interessanter Artikel, der meine Einschätzung teilt:
https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/0...gn=article
What would a Shiller P/E ratio of 22 look like today? Considering the Shiller P/E ratio ended Oct. 5, 2022, at 28.32, an additional 22.32% downside would be necessary in the S&P 500 to bring it to a level where support has been found during prior bear markets. This would entail the S&P 500 dropping by 844.43 points to 2,938.85. All told, this would represent a peak-to-trough bear market decline of 39%.
Yet, once again, no bear market bottom indicator is perfect. During the Great Depression and Great Recession (2007-2009), the Shiller P/E ratio went far, far below 22. But thanks to available monetary and fiscal tools, a Great Depression-esque 89% plummet in the Dow Jones, or any other major index, would be extremely unlikely today
Grüße bufett
Ich bin erstmal gestern mit ganz guten Gewinnen ausgestiegen und werde wohl bei 3000 S&P Punkten wieder einsteigen.Hier ein interessanter Artikel, der meine Einschätzung teilt:
https://www.fool.com/investing/2022/10/0...gn=article
What would a Shiller P/E ratio of 22 look like today? Considering the Shiller P/E ratio ended Oct. 5, 2022, at 28.32, an additional 22.32% downside would be necessary in the S&P 500 to bring it to a level where support has been found during prior bear markets. This would entail the S&P 500 dropping by 844.43 points to 2,938.85. All told, this would represent a peak-to-trough bear market decline of 39%.
Yet, once again, no bear market bottom indicator is perfect. During the Great Depression and Great Recession (2007-2009), the Shiller P/E ratio went far, far below 22. But thanks to available monetary and fiscal tools, a Great Depression-esque 89% plummet in the Dow Jones, or any other major index, would be extremely unlikely today
Grüße bufett